[Swarm-Modelling] decision modelling

[boris.heller]

Good morning list,

here are some more details about what I would like to to:

Basically I would like to simulate or "predict" the voting of creditors about 
the reorganization plan.

When a firm goes bankrupt it is possible to start a reorganization. Therefore 
you create a reorganizantion plan. The creditors of this firm now have the 
right to say whether they are in favor of the plan or whether they are not.

Each creditor has his own mind/decision rules/set of variables that determines 
their behavior. The creditors are put into different groups, e.g. bank. Within 
one group the decision rules should be pretty much the same.   

The decision about the plan is made within a meeting that all creditors may 
attend. In fact they do communicate with each other and so one creditor might 
affect another creditor through this communication. At the end of the meeting 
each creditor votes.

The modell I think of shows each creditor as one agent. Each agent has his own 
set of variables/rules (his own "mind"). According to this they have something 
like a "first opinion" about the reorganization plan and how they would like 
to vote. Then the agents communicate with each other for a certain time by 
message passing. During the communication an agent can possibly change his 
mind. At the end of the process all agents have their "final opinion" about 
the plan. According to this they vote at the end of the process. If you add 
the individual decision you get the final result of the voting.

Maybe now it is better to understand what I would like to do.

I am looking forward to your answers.

Sincerly Yours

Boris Heller